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Variance Analysis

Variance analysis is a data analysis technique that compares actual project performance to the planned baseline to determine the magnitude and cause of deviations.

Explanation

Variance analysis is the process of comparing planned or expected results with actual results to identify and quantify deviations. In project management, it is primarily used to evaluate cost and schedule performance by calculating schedule variance (SV) and cost variance (CV), as well as their respective performance indices (SPI and CPI). Scope, quality, and risk variances can also be analyzed.

The technique goes beyond simply identifying that a variance exists. It involves investigating the root causes of the variance, assessing its impact on the project, and determining whether corrective or preventive action is needed. Significant variances may trigger change requests or require updates to the project management plan.

Variance analysis is a core technique in the Monitor and Control Project Work, Control Schedule, and Control Costs processes. It is most meaningful when performance is measured against approved baselines, making baseline management critical to effective variance analysis.

Key Points

  • Compares actual performance to planned baselines
  • Key metrics include SV, CV, SPI, and CPI
  • Involves root cause investigation and impact assessment
  • Critical for monitoring and controlling scope, schedule, and cost

Exam Tip

Know the variance formulas: SV = EV - PV, CV = EV - AC, SPI = EV/PV, CPI = EV/AC. Positive values mean favorable; negative means unfavorable.

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